High Point
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 81.9173Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 6-14 214 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 10-11 221 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 6-14 301 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 5-18 305 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 7-15 314 H Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 10-11 317 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 4- 9 325 A Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 16- 6 328 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 6-10 401 H Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 25- 4 404 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 16-10 408 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 19- 2 411 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 17-12 415 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 13-14 422 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 13- 6 425 H Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 25- 4 501 N Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 15- 9 503 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Duke 6-14 -8 -8 -0.32
214 H Campbell 10-11 -1 2 - -2.55
221 H Navy 6-14 -8 -10 1.74
301 A Denver 5-18 -13 -13 0.23
305 A Elon 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.61
314 H Liberty 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61
317 H Virginia Tech 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.16
325 A Winthrop 16- 6 10 6 + 3.60
328 H Mercer 6-10 -4 -2 -1.80
401 H Longwood 25- 4 21 11 + 2.55
404 A Wofford 16-10 6 4 1.75
408 H Radford 19- 2 17 12 + 2.05
411 A Furman 17-12 5 4 1.46
415 H East Carolina 13-14 -1 0 -0.75
422 A Gardner Webb 13- 6 7 9 - -2.42
425 H Presbyterian 25- 4 21 13 1.50
501 N Wofford 15- 9 6 6 0.39
503 A Mercer 11-14 -3 -5 1.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Elon 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.61 214 H Campbell 10-11 -1 2 - -2.55 314 H Liberty 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61 422 A Gardner Webb 13- 6 7 9 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Winthrop 16- 6 10 6 + 3.60 401 H Longwood 25- 4 21 11 + 2.55 408 H Radford 19- 2 17 12 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 6-14 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 0.96 -4.96
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 10-11 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 0.96 -9.40
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 6-14 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 0.96 -3.97
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 5-18 -6.12 34.05 1.37 0.96 -2.29
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 7-15 -16.96 23.21 1.37 0.96 -7.50
3 H Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 10-11 -18.22 21.95 -1.37 0.96 -9.43
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 4- 9 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 0.96 -6.80
3 A Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 16- 6 -25.75 14.42 1.37 0.96 30.39
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 6-10 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 0.96 -7.60
3 H Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 25- 4 -28.06 12.11 -1.37 0.96 20.67
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 16-10 -23.60 16.57 1.37 0.96 34.53
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 19- 2 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 0.96 19.69
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 17-12 -22.89 17.28 1.37 0.96 35.90
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 13-14 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 0.96 -8.53
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 13- 6 -28.77 11.40 1.37 0.96 24.57
3 H Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 25- 4 -29.12 11.05 -1.37 0.96 18.64
3 N Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 15- 9 -23.60 16.57 -0.00 0.96 31.90
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 11-14 -14.42 25.75 1.37 0.96 -6.28
------
149.54
|
winning pts = 216.2898 losing points = -66.7502
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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